Kamaru Usman vs Gilbert Burns | UFC 258 Prop Bets
Usman vs Burns Pick | UFC 258 Predictions: Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns have combined for +19.46 units profit in their UFC careers on the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop, with a combined 14-13 record. Both fighters have consistently reached the later stages of their fights, with the ‘Over’ cashing for a combined record of 18-9 for +5.33 units profit in their 27 total UFC fights. The ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop is currently lined at an affordable -138 in this bout, while the ‘Over 4.5 rounds’ prop sits at -145.
Before making your picks for this Saturday’s main event at UFC 258, check out our breakdown of the most profitable, and probable props to cash in both these men’s UFC careers.
UFC 258: Main Event Props
|To Win Outright||-235||+241|
|Inside the Distance||+275||+450|
|Total Rounds||Over 4.5 (-145)||Under 4.5 (+123)|
|Fight Goes Distance||Yes: -138||No: +120|
|Where/When||UFC Apex, Las Vegas||Sat, Feb 13th, 10:00 PM ET|
In his UFC career dating back to 2015, Kamaru Usman has gone to a decision in 9 of his 12 UFC bouts, profiting for +10 units along the way, with the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop going 9-3 as well for +6.21 units profit, and the ‘Over’ going 10-2 for +4.69 units. Usman is 13-0 for +6.21 units on the moneyline dating back to his final fight in Legacy FC in 2014. Usman is lined as a -235 favorite against his former training partner Gilbert Burns on the UFC odds board and is +125 to win by a decision on Saturday.
UFC Betting Trends: Kamaru Usman
Since 2015 UFC Debut
|UFC Record||Profit (Units)|
|to Win by Decision||9-3||+10u|
|to Win Outright
(Since 2014: Legacy FC)
|Fight Goes Distance||9-3||+5.14u|
Gilbert Burns has gone to the judge’s scorecards in 5 of his 15 UFC bouts dating back to his 2014 UFC debut. Bettors who have backed the ‘Burns by Decision’ prop have profited +9.46 units, with the ‘Over’ cashing in 9 of his 15 UFC fights, for +0.64 units profit. Burns has cashed on the moneyline with a 12-3 record, profiting +5.64 units in his UFC career.
UFC Betting Trends: Gilbert Burns
Since 2014 UFC Debut
|UFC Record||Profit (Units)|
|to Win by Decision||5-10||+9.46u|
|to Win Outright||12-3||+5.64u|
|to Win Inside the Distance||7-8||+2.76u|
The ‘Over’ has cashed consistently in the UFC Welterweight division over the past two years, going 43-19 for +14.21 units profit since January of 2020, and 92-47 for +20.62 units going back to the start of 2019. Meanwhile, the Underdog has fared very well in this division over recent history, going 57-81-1 for +16.9 units profit over the last 25 months of welterweight bouts.
UFC Betting Trends: Welterweight Division
|Welterweight Trends||Record||Win %||Profit (Units)||Buy Price|
|Since 2020: Over||43-19||69.4%||+14.21u||-227|
|Since 2019: Over||92-47||66.2%||+20.62u||-196|
|Since 2019: Dogs||57-81-1||41%||+16.9u||+144|
|Since 2020: Dogs||22-39-1||35.5%||+0.07u||+182|
FAQ: UFC 258
What are Gilbert Burns' chances of beating Kamaru Usman?
Based on the betting odds and implied probability, Gilbert Burns has a 35.7% chance of beating Kamaru Usman.
Who is the biggest Favorite at UFC 258
The biggest betting favorite on the UFC 258 card is Brazilian Rodolfo Vieira coming in as a -380 favorite to California’s Anthony Hernandez.
What time does UFC 258 start
The preliminary card for UFC 258 starts at 6:00 PM ET on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10:00 PM ET on pay-per-view.