UFC 259 Prop Bets | Proppin’ You Up

UFC 259 Odds and Prop Bets | Proppin’ You Up The most profitable prop to back so far in 2021 has been the ‘Fight Goes the Distance’ prop which has cashed at a 59% rate, turning +13.6 units profit after 78 fights so far this year. Meanwhile, bettors who are backing Israel Adesanya in this weekend’s massive UFC 259 main event will notice that Izzy has made the most for his backers on the ‘to Win by Decision’ prop, with five of his nine UFC wins coming via decision, profiting for +11.6 units along that stretch. Join MMA LOTN and Cody Saftic as they breakdown their favorite angles for UFC 259.

UFC 260 Odds Post Show

Israel Adesanya vs Jan Blachowicz Prop Odds

UFC 259

Israel Adesanya Jan Blachowicz
To Win Outright -222 +207
Inside the Distance +140 +300
by Decision +275 +800
Total Rounds Over 3.5 (+105) Under 3.5 (-138)
Fight Goes Distance Yes: +162 No: -180

Adesanya has gone the distance in five of his nine UFC bouts, with six of those nine going ‘Over’ the betting total. He has four wins by stoppage, with two of those four coming in UFC title fights.

UFC Betting Trends: Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya
Since 2018 UFC Debut
UFC Record Profit (Units)
by Decision 5-4 +11.65u
to Win Outright 9-0 +4.72u
Fight Goes Distance 5-4 +2.26u
Over 6-3 +1.8u
Inside the Distance 4-5 +0.96u

Blachowicz has finished 5 of his 10 wins by stoppage and has 5 wins by decision. Ten of his fifteen UFC fights have gone ‘Over’ the betting total, while nine of those ten have gone the distance.

UFC Betting Trends: Jan Blachowicz

Jan Blachowicz
Since 2014 UFC Debut
UFC Record Profit (Units)
to Win Outright 10-5 +10.25u
Inside the Distance 5-10 +9.18u
to Win by Decision 5-10 +6.08u
Fight Goes Distance 9-6 +5.43u
Over 10-5 +2.64u
Opp. by Decision 4-11 +1.95u

UFC 260 Betting Trends

Amanda Nunes vs Megan Anderson Prop Odds

UFC 259 Props

Amanda Nunes Megan Anderson
To Win Outright -700 +750
Inside the Distance -350 +1125
by Decision +477 +2000
Total Rounds Over 1.5 (-115) Under 1.5 (+104)
Fight Goes Distance Yes: +400 No: -500

Bettors who have backed Nunes on the ‘Inside the Distance’ prop in every fight in her UFC career are up +11 units profit, with a 9-5 betting record.

UFC Betting Trends: Amanda Nunes

Amanda Nunes
Since 2013 UFC Debut
UFC Record Profit (Units)
Inside the Distance 9-5 +11.06u
to Win Outright
(Since 2011 Strikeforce Debut)
15-3 +13.56u
to Win by Decision 4-10 +8.67u
Under 9-5 +5.05u
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance 10-4 +1.14u

All three of Megan Anderson’s UFC wins have come by way of stoppage, with 4 of her 5 bouts going ‘Under’ the betting total.

UFC Betting Trends: Megan Anderson

Megan Anderson
Since 2018 UFC Debut
UFC Record Profit (Units)
Inside the Distance 3-2 +3.97u
Under 4-1 +3.69u
Fight Doesn’t Go Distance 4-1 +2.05u
to Win Outright 7-3 +0.08u

UFC Betting

Petr Yan vs Aljamain Sterling Prop Odds

UFC 259

Petr Yan

Aljamain Sterling

To Win Outright -104 -107
Inside the Distance +250 +210
by Decision +333 +350
Total Rounds Over 3.5 (-120) Under 3.5 (+105)
Fight Goes Distance Yes (+130) No (-140)
Where/When UFC Apex, Las Vegas Sat, Mar 6th, 10:00 PM ET

One of the most overlooked fights of 2021 finds itself on the UFC 259 card as a feature bout, and not even a co-main event. Petr Yan will defend his UFC Bantamweight gold against the guy who many have already hailed as the ‘uncrowned Champion’ in Aljamain Sterling.

UFC Picks Glover Teixeira


FAQ: UFC 259

What are Jan Blachowicz chances of beating Israel Adesanya?

Based on the current betting odds and implied probability, Jan Blachowicz has a 32.8% chance of beating Israel Adesanya at UFC 259.

Who is the biggest Favorite at UFC 259?

The biggest betting favorite on the UFC 259 card is in the co-main event as the the ‘Lioness’ Amanda Nunes comes in as a -820 favorite in her UFC Women’s Featherweight title defense against Megan Anderson.

What time does UFC259 start?

The preliminary card for UFC 259 starts at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN, while the main card starts at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+ and pay-per-view.