Ode Osbourne vs Jerome Rivera Pick | UFC Vegas 18 Predictions
Ode Osbourne vs Jerome Rivera Pick | UFC Vegas 18 Predictions: Jerome Rivera steps up to the last-minute challenge to face Ode Osbourne for UFC Vegas 18. LOTN and Cody analyze this matchup and take a look at the odds looking for that perfect play to make on this fight.
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Ode Osbourne vs Jerome Rivera Odds
UFC Vegas 18
|To Win Outright||-200||+185|
|Inside the Distance||+137||+450|
|Total Rounds||Over 2.5 (+110)||Under 2.5 (+110)|
|Fight Goes Distance||Yes (+135)||No (-130)|
|Where/When||UFC Apex, Las Vegas||Sat, Feb 6th, 5:00 PM ET|
Ode Osbourne is coming in with an 8-3 record, with a 88% finish rate, picking up 4 of his 8 victories by way of submission. Jerome Rivera is 10-4, with a 70% finish rate and is coming into this bout with 7 of his 10 wins coming by way of submission.
Tale of the Tape: Osbourne vs Rivera
|UFC Men’s Featherweight||Ode Osbourne||Jerome Rivera|
|Finish Rate||88% (4 Wins by Submission)||70% (7 Wins by Submission)|
The ‘Over’ in the UFC Men’s Featherweight division has gone 43-17 over the last 13 months for +15.5 units profit. Based on implied probability, betting the ‘Over’ at odds of -253 or better has value, and is a +EV bet.
The ‘Favorite’ in the UFC Men’s Featherweight division has won 38 of the last 60 UFC bouts but has failed to turn a profit, losing -3.45 units along the way. Based on the division trend, any favorite lined at odds of -172 or better in this division has been a value bet, but anything on the other side of that buy price, you would be better off taking the other side.
UFC Betting Trends: Men’s Featherweight Division
|Since 2020||Record||Profit (Units)|
The current price on the ‘Over 2.5’ in the Osbourne/Rivera fight is lined around the +100 range. Ode Osbourne is lined as a -207 favorite, with the come back on Jerome Rivera sitting at around just +163. As far as the odds for betting a side goes, this fight is somewhat priced out.
2021 UFC Betting Trends
|Since 2021||Record||Win %||Profit (Units)|
|Fight Goes Distance||21-14||60%||+9.34u|
|Fight Doesn’t Go Distance||14-21||57.1%||-9.42u|