East Finals Game 2 – Celtics/Heat Playoff Trends

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Playoff Trends: Both Miami and Boston have similar pace of play trends. With their most similar ones being in the second half. We take a look at all the playoff betting trends for the Celtics and Heat, for this NBA Eastern Conference Finals.

Eastern Conference Finals Boston Celtics Miami Heat
Game 2 Odds -138 +120
Series Odds +135 -155
NBA Title Odds +525 +450

NBA Futures Odds via Bet365

Celtics Control Pace Down the Stretch

(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

The Boston Celtics have enjoyed a lot of success in these playoffs, and much of it is due to the superb coaching of Brad Stevens. While the Celtics have actually struggled coming out of the half, going 3-9 ATS in the 3Q. They managed to keep the Raptors to an average of just 48.3 points per game, in the 3rd quarter, of the last three games of their series. While the Celtics may not be winning these 3Q’s, they are losing them by a thin margin and then storming back to win games. The Celtics are 8-4 ATS in the 4Q, with the 4Q total going 9-3 to the Under. It seems that this series will be heavy towards the Under across the board. As the only derivative ‘Over’ trending for Boston is in the 1st Quarter (7-5). In the majority of Boston’s games, the pace has started quickly, with the defense tightening up exponentially as the games go on. Miami plays a very similar style. Tight defensive play with very efficient offense on the other side of the floor. These will be very tight games, but the Under trends should continue.

Boston Celtics – NBA Playoff Trends Worth Tracking

Boston Celtics ATS O/U
Full Game 7-5 3-9
1Q 7-5 7-5
2Q 9-3 5-7
1H 8-4 3-9
3Q 3-8-1 3-9
4Q 8-4 3-9
2H 5-6-1 2-9-1

The Heat is On.

Miami has been a big surprise to the casual NBA observer, but the real aficionados of this league have been praising this team for quite some time. Miami finished the season as the 5th best defensive team in the league as far as opponent points per game, as well as being the 5th best team in the league at defending the three-ball. This was the formula that made them so deadly against the Bucks. Forcing their opponent to the perimeter, defending the three-ball, and getting points off transition, through defensive rebounds and turnovers.

Miami Money Bags

(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

No one expected the Heat to get through the Bucks so easily, and the betting market reflected that. The Heat are 9-1 ATS, and have a 9-1 record on the moneyline, profiting +8.03u. In fact, if you’ve bet $100 on both the Heat ML and ATS in every playoff game so far, you’ve profited +$1522. Not too shabby for a team that was expected to get pushed aside by the eastern favorite Bucks.

Miami Heat – NBA Playoff Trends Worth Tracking

Miami ATS O/U
Full Game 9-1 4-6
1Q 4-6 5-5
2Q 7-3 3-7
1H 6-2-2 3-7
3Q 5-5 4-5-1
4Q 6-3-1 4-5-1
2H 8-2 5-5

2H Will Dictate Outcome

(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

The Heat and Celtics both trend to the Under in the 2H, with the Celtics doing so at a much higher rate than the Heat. With that being said, the real question surrounding this series will be answered in the 4th quarter. The Heat are 6-3-1 ATS in the 4Q so far in the NBA playoffs, while the Celtics are 8-4 (4Q ATS). Both teams tend to get very tight defensively down the stretch, especially if the game is within just a few points. The team that wins this series is going to be the one who is able to get baskets and make plays when the possessions mean the most. In the final frame of the game. Look for the Heat as a 2H ATS team in this series, especially if you’re getting more than a basket. Jimmy Butler and Goran Dragic are both known to turn things up in the 4th quarter, and with a very even coaching match-up, expect these games to turn into a ‘pace of play’ chess match. Enjoy this series, and keep your eyes here at Odds.com for all the updated Heat/Celtics Playoff Betting Trends throughout the series.