UL Lafayette vs Appalachian State Pick: College Football Week 14

Billy Napier

UL Lafayette vs Appalachian State Pick – College Football Week 14: The Ragin Cajuns head to Appalachian State on Friday night having faired exceptionally strong as a road ATS underdog in recent history. The Cajuns and head coach Billy Napier are 6-3 ATS as a road dog, going back to when Napier was hired in 2018. Meanwhile, Appalachian State have not performed well as an ATS favorite in 2020, going 2-6 as the betting chalk, covering just twice this season as favorites at home.

UL Lafayette
Appalachian ST.
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
Over 51.5  (-110)
Under 51.5 (-110)
Kid Brewer Stadium
Fri. Dec 4th, 8:30 PM ET

This year’s Rodney Dangerfield award in college football goes to the Sun Belt Conference that just isn’t getting enough respect. If television slots were handed out on merit, this battle between the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns and Appalachian State Mountaineers would be in prime-time on Saturday night instead of being relegated to Friday.

Match-Up and Trends

UL Lafayette
Appalachian St.

It’s a rematch of the last two conference championship games, and ESPN2 will televise the action on what could be a cold and possibly rainy evening in Boone, NC. Bettors will want to keep an eye on the weather forecast before going to the window at FanDuel where Appalachian State is laying 2½ with a 53½-point total that is priced to the ‘under.’

Measure of Expectation

ml profit
ml fade
avg. Margin
avg. ats margin
UL Lafayette
Appalachian St.

Louisiana-Lafayette wrapped up its 3rd-straight Sun Best west crown a few weeks back, then had to deal with a virus outbreak that also included head coach Billy Napier. The Ragin’ Cajuns didn’t let that interrupt their fine season, coming back last week to rout Louisiana-Monroe by a 70-20 count. Burdened with 29-point chalk on the college football odds board, they had that covered with a 49-14 lead at halftime behind a potent ground game.

Shawn Clark’s Mountaineers have just the two losses to unbeaten Marshall and Coastal Carolina teams. They almost pulled off the mild upset of the Chanticleers two weeks ago before a late Coastal Carolina rally cost them.

Appalachian State rebounded in fine form with a 47-10 romp past Troy this past weekend, scoring the game’s first 28 points before coasting as a 2-TD favorite. Another fine showing from Zac Thomas led the way, the senior completing 22-of-29 for nearly 280 yards and four scores.

UL Lafayette vs Appalachian State Pick:

Were this game played at a neutral site, Louisiana would probably be a small favorite. That would be big news considering the Ragin’ Cajuns are 0-8 in the rivalry with Appalachian State. Most of the clashes haven’t even been close, with the 45-38 Mountaineers win in the 2019 Sun Belt Championship marking the first time they hadn’t won by double digits.

Neither side has been great at covering the spread, with App State an ugly 2-7 ATS. Both the Ragin’ Cajuns and Mountaineers have been good to ‘under’ bettors, however, and six of the eight meetings have also finished that way. Put me down for a free college football pick on the ‘under’ in this one as well.

Week 14 College Football

Keep it locked to Odds.com for all of your College Football betting needs for Week 14. The best current odds can be found on our College Football Odds Page. Stay tuned for plenty more College Football Picks throughout the season.