Cotton Bowl Betting Preview

 |  www.odds.com December 30, 2015 with 0 Comments

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Event Odds
RotTimeTeamSCOpener
259
260
12/31
9:00 PM
Michigan State
Alabama
0
38
49 -106
+9½ -107
49 -106
-9½ -105
46 -110
+10 -110
46 -110
-10 -110

Michigan State Spartans vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

Michigan State Spartans (12-1) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1)

LINE: Alabama -10
TOTAL: 46.5

BUS MAN”S PICK TO COVER THE SPREAD: ALABAMA -10

ATS & Over/Under records

Michigan State Spartans: 5-7-1 ATS / O/U 6-7
Alabama Crimson Tide 7-6 ATS / O/U 5-8

Last Game:
Michigan State beat Iowa 16-13 in the Big 10 title game and Alabama beat Florida 29-15 in the SEC title game.

Current Streak

Michigan State Spartans: WON 4
Alabama Crimson Tide: WON 10

Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall
4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games
0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games
Over is 8-2 in their last 10 non-conference games

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games
Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall

Head-To-Head- Betting Trends
    
NONE

Betting Analysis

This game is being held at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

Alabama has one 10 in a row and they boast the nation’s 2nd ranked defense. It is no surprise that they are a big 10-point betting favorite in this Cotton Bowl.

Michigan State was a little lucky to beat Michigan on a crazy last second TD, but they are a giant killer and in 2 of their last 3 games they knocked Ohio State and Iowa from the ranks of the unbeaten.

Can Michigan State QB Connor Cook (2921 yards 24 TD 5 INT) move the ball on such a solid Alabama defense, which ranks 17th in the nation against the pass? He has a great WR in Aaron Burbridge (1,219 yards 7 TD) and some other solid targets and it will be key that his offensive line gives him time in the pocket.

Cook’s play will be key as Alabama’s strength on D is the run defense while the Michigan State rushing offense does not have a star back and ranked 79th in the nation in rushing yards per game.

Alabama’s offense boasts Heisman winning RB Derrick Henry, who rushed for 189 yards against Florida in the SEC title game and eclipsed the 200 yard rushing mark in 2 of the last 4 games. The big match up in this game may be him facing a Michigan State run defense that ranks 7th in the nation.

Alabama QB Jake Coker leads a passing attack that was not a dynamic one this season and while he did not put up great numbers he avoided throwing a pick in the last 3 games of the season. The Tide may want to use him more in this game facing a Spartans’ pass defense that only ranks 75th in the nation.

Bus Man’s Pick: Alabama is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games facing teams from the Big 10 and that trend will continue. Bama’s defense will stymie the Spartans in this game and the Tide will win and cover and advance to the National Championship.

 



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