Alamo Bowl Betting Preview

 |  www.odds.com January 1, 2016 with 0 Comments

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Event Odds
RotTimeTeamSCOpener
277
278
1/02
7:45 PM
TCU
Oregon
47
41
78 -106
-1½ -106
78 -106
+1½ -106
73½ -110
+8 -115
73½ -110
-8 -105

Oregon Ducks vs. TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

Oregon Ducks (9-3) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (10-2)

LINE: Oregon -7  
TOTAL: 73.5

BUS MAN”S PICK TO COVER THE SPREAD: OREGON -7

ATS & Over/Under records

Oregon Ducks: 7-5 ATS / O/U 8-4
TCU Horned Frogs 6-6 ATS / O/U 5-7

Last Game:
  Oregon beat Oregon State 52-42 and TCU beat Baylor 28-21.

Current Streak

Oregon Ducks: WON 6
TCU Horned Frogs: WON 1

Oregon Ducks Betting Trends

5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall
5-2 ATS in their last 7 Bowl games
34-16-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Trends

6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games
11-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games
19-8 ATS in their last 27 games overall
Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall

Head-To-Head- Betting Trends
    
NONE

Betting Analysis

This game is being held at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

TCU opened as a 1.5-point favorite in this game, but now they are 7-point underdogs since star QB Trevone Boykin is suspended for the game after getting arrested for punching a cop. Smart move that will really hurt his team in this bowl game. He led a Horned Frogs passing offense that ranked 9th in the nation and was also the team’s 2nd leading rusher.

Bram Kohlhausen should get the start under center for the Horned Frogs and for the season he passed for 369 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT in mop-up duty. However, he has one of the best WR’s in the nation in Josh Doctson and will face an Oregon pass defense that ranks 3rd to last in the nation. Doctson had 1,327 yards with 14 TD on the season while the next leading WR had 598 yards.

RB Aaron Green did not have a big game in the big win over Baylor, but in his previous 2 games he nearly rushed for 100 yards. He will be facing an Oregon run defense that ranks 74th in the nation.

While Oregon does not have a good defense they rank 35th in the nation in passing yards per game and 5th in rushing yards per game. Vernon Adams Jr. was solid this season under center for the Ducks and RB Royce Freeman rushed for over 1,700 yards. Freeman rushed for over 100 yards in 9 of the last 10 games this season and in the last 2 games combined for 314 rushing yards.

TCU ranks 52nd in the nation in run defense and 79th in pass defense.

Bus Man’s Pick: Without Boykin I do not think TCU has a chance, as the Ducks will win this game and cover the spread giving 7 points.
 



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