White Sox vs Twins Pick – September 2, 2020

White Sox vs Twins Pick

Game: Chicago White Sox (22-13) vs Minnesota Twins (20-16)
Odds: White Soxs +130 / Twins -145 / Total 9
Where: Target Field Minnesota 8pm EST 

Don’t look now but the Chicago White Sox’s lead the AL Central, winning eight of their last ten, the White Sox’s are a bet on the team. Reynaldo Lopez will be taking the mound tonight, he’s a bit of a dice game, with a small sample size to go off of. Minnesota just can’t get right, they’ll turn to their once upon a time ace Jose Berrios to lift them out of the ruts. We’ll be fading this Twins bullpen and backing the White Sox’s bats. Best Bet White Sox’s Team Total Over 3.5 -139 @ DraftKings.

White Sox vs Twins starting pitching

Team Pitcher Inning Pitched Batting Avg. WHIP FIP K-BB % LOB% GB/FB HR: FB Hard 

Contact %

White Sox Lopez (R) 8.000 0.313 2.000 7.010 5.000 63.400 0.820 18.200 52.000
Lopez (Away) 3.100 0.190 0.900 3.430 14.300 50.000 0.400 0.000 57.100
Twins Berrios (R) 36.000 0.257 1.470 4.360 13.400 74.500 1.270 15.200 43.400
Berrios (Home) 21.000 0.178 1.100 3.280 21.200 80.200 1.060 11.100 34.800

Reynaldo Lopez needs innings under his belt. Chicago has a lethal pitching rotation, but verses good teams they will need Lopez to show up here. In his one road start, Lopez found something strikeouts out four and allowing two runs on one hit to the uptown rival Cubs. His runs were due to a hanging breaking ball Victor Caratini hit for an RBI double to the wall, if Lopez can find his location, and keep the long ball down, Chicago has a chance to win here. We can only hope Lopez learned his lesson in game one of the 2020 campaign when he lasted only 0.2 innings allowing four runs to these same Twins back on July 26th.   

Minnesota counters with Jose Berrios, 2-3 record on the year, Berrios has struggled against weaker hitting teams, losing to the Royals and Indians twice already. More often than not Berrios is allowing at least two runs a start, im not sure how he’s going to shut down a team like the White Sox’s who are mashing the baseball on the road and leading the league in wRC+. If we can get at least two runs off Berrios, our team total over 3.5 will more than likely be able to get two runs off this mediocre Twins bullpen. Berrios allowed five runs in his first start of the year to this same White Sox’s lineup. Buyer beware.

White Sox vs Twins offensive production: Aug 18th- present

Offense Batting Avg. K % OPS ISO Power BABIP wRC+ GB:FB HR:FB Hard Contact %
White Sox (vs R) 0.275 24.800 0.867 0.250 0.315 135.000 1.320 25.000 46.500
White Sox (Away) 0.291 25.900 0.951 0.305 0.326 154.000 1.130 32.500 54.600

(vs R)

0.230 26.200 0.709 0.167 0.287 92.000 1.230 15.200 43.800
Twins (Home) 0.229 25.200 0.667 0.125 0.297 80.000 1.590 9.400 43.300

You cannot say enough about what this White Sox’s team has done on the offensive side of the ball. Chicago is the hottest hitting baseball team in the AL. Every stat they hold is top ten in the majors, averaging over four runs a game, im not sure why the books decided to hang a 3.5, though it is juiced. I find it very difficult not to score four runs when they just tee’d off on Berrios four weeks ago. If for whatever reason Berrios holds this White Sox’s lineup in check, we have a terrific chance to hit this dreadful Twins bullpen at home in 2020.

Minnesota has felt the injury bug losing Donaldson and Graver for most of the season, good news the team is optimistic Donaldson will make his return tonight against Lopez and the White Sox’s. Since starting the year leading the league in home runs and hits, Minnesota has hit a wall. Nelson Cruz has decent numbers off Lopez, batting .500, and one homerun, other than that big Minnesota are not foreseeing what they have shown us in early August, our trust lies with the White Sox’s and what they can do to right-handed pitching while on the road.

White Sox vs Twins pick and Bullpen relief: Aug 18th- present

Bullpen Innings K-BB % Batting Avg. WHIP FIP LOB%
White Sox 39.2 12.100 0.236 1.31 4.520 75.700
White Sox(Away) 12.200 9.800 0.182 1.180 2.900 80.000
Twins 52.100 14.800 0.269 1.510 4.760 71.400
Twins (Home) 19.000 7.000 0.286 1.580 6.500 70.800

Chicago White Sox’s are a very good baseball team, numbers that drop in their favor on the road, tells me this team has the composure and the arms the win you games late, looking like the New York Yankees of the past. Im not sure how the books can give us a team total of only four runs, when they average four more than four on the year, see the same pitcher they hit for five runs at the start of the season. We’ll be going to the window with Chicago White Sox’s team total over 3.5 -139 in our pockets.

Injury Report: Offense Only

White Sox Moncada  3B Day-To-Day (Leg)
Garcia  CF 60-Day IL (Thumb)


Twins Donaldson 3B Day-To-Day (Calf)
Garver  C 10-Day IL (Ribs)
Gordon SS Day-To-Day (COVID)


Best Bet: White Sox Team Total Over 3.5 -139 @ DraftKings