Florida Atlantic vs Florida International Pick: College Football Week 11

Florida Atlantic vs FIU

Florida Atlantic vs Florida International Pick – College Football Week 11: FAU comes into Friday night’s game riding a red hot 8-1 ATS streak in their last 9 road games. While the FIU Panthers are on a streak of their own, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as the home underdog. It’s Friday night lights in Florida, as the Panthers take on the Owls.

Florida Atlantic
Florida INternational
Over 41 (-110)
Under 41 (-110)
Riccardo Silva Stadium
Fri. Nov 13th, 7:00 PM ET

Match-Up and Trends

Team Record
Moneyline profit
Florida Atlantic
Florida International

The underdog has covered the spread in six of the last eight head to head meetings between these two teams, while the home team has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings. Within those parameters, the Owls have managed to cover the spread in four of the last five against FIU, with the last four games played at Riccardo Silva Stadium between  these two teams going over the total all four times.

Measure of Expectation

Avg. Margin
Avg. ATS Margin
moneyline fade
Florida Atlantic
Florida International

Florida Atlantic has been the better team overall this year, which hasn’t taken much, as the FIU Panthers sit as the worst team in the Conference USA at 0-3. FIU has been the team to fade this season in this conference, as they had outright losses to both Jacksonville State (+280) and Middle Tennessee St. (+195).

As for Florida Atlantic, every game they have won this season they have been lined as a -200 favorite or higher, with their only loss coming to Marshall, who was a -1000 favorite in that game. Based on these measures of expectation, with Florida Atlantic covering by an average of +5.5, and FIU failing to cover by an average of -7, you gotta think the value is on Florida Atlantic on this one, with the line only currently set a -10.