College Basketball Trends: 5 Teams to Bet Over/Under This Season

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College Basketball Trends: 5 Teams to Bet Over/Under This Season: The college basketball season is back this year. Some college teams tend to do better ATS, while others perform poorly. Some college teams trend to the over while others trend to the under.

Since 2018, the top 5 college teams that trend to the over have a combined average of 65% when it comes to going over the total. Meanwhile, in that same stretch of time, the top 5 college teams that trend to the under have a combined average of 66.9% when it comes to going under the total. Here is a look at the top 5 teams to bet over and under in the NCAA.

Best Five Teams to Bet Under:

Since 2018
Under
%
Fairfield
50-20
71.4%
Merrimack
20-9-1
69%
New Hampshire
37-19-1
66.1%
UC Riverside
40-22-1
64.5%
Akron
39-22
63.9%
  • Updated: 12/19/20

Fairfield

Fairfield is the best team in the NCAA to bet the under on. Since 2018, their games tend to go under the number 71.4% of the time. Their record for going under since then is 50-20. Jay Young is the current coach of Fairfield but, he has only been with the team since 2019. Since Young took over the team in 2019, Fairfield games go under the number 77% of the time. His record with them is 30-9 to the under as head coach. Despite the coaching change, Fairfield has continued to trend to the under, even more so under this new head coach. This is a team to look for going forward to play under the total.

Merrimack

Going back to just last season. Merrimack’s games tend to go under the number 69% of the time. Merrimack became a Division I college basketball team last year, with Joe Gallo serving as their coach since 2017 in Division II.

New Hampshire

New Hampshire games have gone under the total 66.1% of the time since then. In that same span, their record is 37-19-1 to the under. Bill Herrion is the current head coach of New Hampshire and has been the coach since 2005. Since he took over the team in 2005, New Hampshire is the 2nd best team in the NCAA for betting the under with a record of 53-29-1. With Herrion as a coach, the team goes under the number 63.8% of their games. This is another steady trend that shouldn’t be changing drastically anytime soon.

Akron

Akron is also the 4th best team in the NCAA since 2018 for going under the total. Their games have gone under the number 63.9% of the time. Their record is 39-22 to the under since 2018. John Groce is the current head coach of Akron and has been coaching the team since 2017. In his tenure there, Akron games have gone under the total 61% of the time, going 56-35 to the under. This is another team where there have been no drastic changes, and that trend should continue to hold up going forward.

UC Riverside

UC Riverside games have gone under the total 65% of the time in that span. Their record is 40-22-1 to the under since 2018. Mike Magpayo is the current head coach of this team and was hired this season. This is his first time coaching a major school team, and so far, after two games, he is 2-2 to the under. It’s tough to say what direction he will bring this team in respect to that trend, but, that being said, he was the assistant coach of UC Riverside since 2018 before getting this job as head coach. So, there’s a good chance this trend stays intact going forward.


Best Five Teams to Bet Over:

Since 2018
Over
%
New Orleans
40-20-1
66.7%
Samford
42-22
65.6%
Oral Roberts
38-20
65.5%
VMI
41-23
64.1%
Delaware
40-23-2
63.5%
  • Updated: 12/19/20

New Orleans

New Orleans is at the very top of the list of teams to bet over the total since 2018. Their games go over the number 66.7% of the time since then. Their record is 40-20-1 to the over since 2018. Mark Slessinger is the current head coach of New Orleans and has been coaching there since 2012. Since he took over, the team is the best in the country at going over the totals with a record of 46-25-2 to the over. Their games are going over 64.8% of the time. This is a team that should continue to trend in that direction going forward.

Samford

Sanford is another team atop the list of those to bet over the total the last two years. Samford’s games have gone over the number 65.6% of the time since then. Their record is 42-22 to the over since 2018. Bucky McMillan is the current head coach of the team but, he was hired this year to take over. This is his first time ever coaching a major school team. So far, the team is 2-1 to the over with him as the coach. This will be a team to watch this year and see how this trend unfolds under a new coach.

Delaware

Delaware is a top 3 team to bet Over the total since 2018. Their games have gone over the number 63.5% of the time in that span. Their record is 40-23-2 to the over since then. Martin Ingelsby is the current head coach of the team and has been since 2016. Their games have gone over the total 58.5% of the time with him as coach. Their record is 69-49-4 to the over with Ingelsby and has been improving in the last 2 years. Since 2018, there has been a 5% increase for the team going over the total and will most likely continue to trend in that direction.

Oral Roberts

Oral Roberts is another top 5 team to bet over the total since 2018. Their games have gone over the number 65.5% of the time in that span. Their record is 38-20 to the over since 2018. Scott Sutton is the current head coach of the team and has been coaching their since 1999. Since he took over the team back in 99′, Oral Roberts is the best team in the country for going over the total with a record of 168-114-2. Their games go over the total 59.3% of the time with him as the coach and that number has trended upward in recent years. This is a team that will most likely continue trending toward the over.

VMI

Virginia Military rounds out the top 5 for NCAA teams to bet over the total since 2018. Their games have gone over the number 64.1% of the time since then. Their record is 41-23 to the over since 2018. Dan Earl is the current head coach of the team and has been since 2015. Since he started coaching there in 2015, the team is 67-66 to the over. Their games go over the total about 50% of the time with him as the coach. There has been a drastic increase in the last two years, as VMI have trended toward the over at almost a 15% increase. This is a team to watch going forward to see if that trend to the over continues.


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