New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick: NFL Week 9
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick – NFL Week 9: Wide receiver Antonio Brown is expected to make his Buccaneers debut. He was last seen playing with quarterback Tom Brady in week two of last season in New England. At that time he was widely viewed as an elite wide receiver.
Tough to know how he will perform in his first game back but considering pro bowl receiver Mike Evans is playing through injury and Chris Godwin missed last week with an injury, Brown’s presence can only help.
This is a rematch of week one a game New Orleans won 34-23. In that game, Tampa Bay had 39 more yards and a +0.7 yards per play differential though beat themselves be losing the turnover battle 3-0. Tampa Bay Quarterback Tom Brady threw two interceptions. The first led to a New Orleans 35 yard touchdown drive and the second was a pick-six. The third turnover was a fumble on a kickoff which led to a field goal. Tampa Bay also had a field goal blocked which led to a New Orleans field goal.
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Match-Up and Betting Trends
New Orleans is also expected to get help at the wide receiver position. Their top two receivers, all-pro Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders have both missed time in recent weeks but it’s possible they could both play Sunday and both returned to practice Wednesday. Thomas led the league in receiving last year but hasn’t played since week one. Sanders was coming off his best game as a member of the Saints by catching 12 passes for 122 yards in week five against the Chargers. Sanders had missed the past two games after testing positive for Covid-19 but is no longer on the NFL’s Covid-19 list thus he should play. Getting receivers back will be necessary for both offenses as neither team is likely to be able to run the ball as both defenses rank in the top three in opponent yards per rush attempt.
Tampa Bay could not have played any worse in the first meeting committing countless turnovers. I am a believer in the Tampa Bay defense and if it weren’t for the mistakes by the offense and special teams, they would not have given up 34 points in the first meeting. Note that Tampa Bay has had less time to prepare for this game having played Monday night. That said they will be getting a new receiver in Antonio Brown. New Orleans is also getting their receivers back but those receivers were available to New Orleans in the first meeting. My lean would be toward Tampa Bay -4.5.
Single-Digit Road Dogs are Money Makers
Betting Systems need not be complicated to have a high degree of success. Following is a perfect example of simplicity. This system has earned a 35-60 straight-up (SU) record for 37% wins and a 62-30-3 ATS mark good for 67.4% winning bets over the last five seasons. Two parameters have produced these highly profitable records. The third parameter filters that query to return only divisional matchups. The Divisional subset has earned a 15-22 SU record good for 41% wins and a 26-11 ATS record good for 70% winning bets over the last five seasons.
- Bet on road underdogs between three and 9.5 points.
- The road underdog is averaging 28 or more points-per-game on the season.
- The matchup is between divisional foes.
Using this DOG as part of a multiple-team six-point teaser wager has done its part sporting a 29-6-2 ATS record for 83% winners.