New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Betting Preview

 |  www.odds.com November 28, 2015 with 0 Comments

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Event Odds
RotTimeTeamSCOpener
273
274
11/29
8:30 PM
New England
Denver
24
30
46 -105
-3½ -105
46 -105
+3½ -105
43 -110
-2½ -110
43 -110
+2½ -110

New England Patriots (10-0) vs. Denver Broncos (8-2)

LINE: Patriots -3
TOTAL: 43.5

BUS MAN”S PICK TO COVER THE SPREAD: PATRIOTS -3

ATS & Over/Under records

New England Patriots: 5-3-2 ATS / O/U 5-5
Denver Broncos 5-5 ATS / O/U 3-6-1

Last Game:
The Patriots beat the Buffalo Bills 20-13 and the Broncos beat the Chicago Bears 17-15.

Current Streak

New England Patriots: WON 10
Denver Broncos: WON 1

New England Patriots Betting Trends

5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall
0-2-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win
Over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall
6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss
Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games

Head-To-Head- Betting Trends
    
Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
Patriots are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 games
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 games in Denver
Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Denver

Betting Analysis

In the last few seasons this has been the Peyton Manning vs. Tom Brady show, but with Manning out with an injury that changes everything. However, Manning has not looked great this season and the reason the Broncos are winning is their defense, which is the top-ranked unit in the league.

Brock Osweiler will get the start under center for the Broncos and he has a solid WR corps and will be facing a New England pass defense that ranks 19th in the league. The Pats’ pass D has been up and down this season, but it helps to have a good pass rush led by Chandler Jones, who ranks 3rd in the NFL in sacks.

Ronnie Hillman rushed for over 100 yards in the win over the Bears and he will be leaned on big time in this game and faces a solid Patriots’ run D that ranks 2nd in the league.

Tom Brady is having another great season and he has no lack of targets. He has his his work cut out for him against the stout Denver D, but they are without pass-rusher DeMarcus Ware, who is out for this game and leads the team in sacks. That loss is a big one.

The Pats have not had a f=great rushing offense on the season, but LeGarrette Blount is solid even though he has averaged 3.5 yards per game in each of his last 2 games.

Bus Man’s Pick: No Manning no chance for the Broncos, as even though their D is legit Brady will still have a good game and the Pats will stay perfect on the season with a win and they will also cover the spread.

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